Offshore wind power: Expansion forges steadily ahead federal government inhibiting further momentum
New offshore wind turbines with a total capacity of 818 megawatts went online in 2016. The industry views this expansion as positive and expects that, combined with optimised turbine technology and operating concepts, this will also lead to cost reduction in the forthcoming tendering processes in Germany. This momentum will however be upset by the reduced expansion targets after 2020 that are part of the 2017 Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG). These reduced expansion targets will also lead to a number of missed opportunities for the industry.
Berlin, 19 January 2017 – Last year, 156 new offshore wind turbines with an overall capacity of 818 megawatts fed their power into the German grid for the first time. This brought the total number of turbines on grid by the end of 2016 to 947, with a total capacity of 4,108 megawatts. In all positive figures according to the Working Group for Offshore Wind Energy (AGOW), the German Wind Energy Association (BWE), the Offshore Wind Energy Foundation, VDMA Power Systems and the WAB Wind Energy Agency. The amount of power generated by offshore wind turbines was around 13 terawatt-hours in 2016. This represents an increase of almost 57 per cent compared to the 8.3 terawatt-hours generated in 2015. This consolidates offshore wind power’s position in the German power mix, supplying around 3 million households with electricity. This roughly corresponds to the combined number of households in Berlin and the state of Brandenburg. Another 21 turbines with a total capacity of 123 megawatts were fully erected in the previous year, and are currently being connected to the grid. Offshore expansion will continue with about 1,400 megawatts in 2017 followed by a steady average of around 1,000 megawatts a year until 2019.
Cost reduction is also coming to Germany
The latest tendering results in Denmark and the Netherlands have shown that the greater the project volumes the more significant the cost reductions. This is also to be expected here in Germany, even if the conditions in the aforementioned countries are not exactly the same as in Germany: wind farm lifetimes and output volumes vary, and this has an appropriate effect on the calculation of the project costs. Unlike in Germany, operators in Denmark and the Netherlands do not have to bear the costs for the transformer platforms. The projects there are also significantly nearer the coast, leading to additional cost reductions.
2020 and 2021: Reduced expansion volume burdens the industry
The number of jobs, currently at 20,000, in the industry is anticipated to initially remain stable, whereby there will be a shift of focus towards maintenance and operation of existing wind farms. The industry’s situation looks to be critical in 2021/2022, for when federal government has limited expansion to 500 megawatts a year. The reduction of the expansion volume and the rigid setting of annual volumes are a strain on value creation for the offshore wind industry in Germany. This overshadows the positive changes of the EEG 2017 in December such as the extension of the permissible service life of the turbines beyond the EEG funding period to 25 years.
Security of grid connection necessary for planning and investment security
A reliable political framework and substantial expansion volumes are needed if the offshore wind industry is to be able to achieve further cost reductions in Germany. This includes swifter grid expansion both offshore and on land. The industry supports the efforts of federal and state governments, and the grid operators in this respect.
2016 figures at a glance:
Expansion in 2016
Offshore turbines on grid 818 MW
(2015: 2,263 MW)
Cumulative total on 31.12.2016 Offshore turbines on grid 4,108 MW
(2015: 3,294 MW)
Offshore turbines completed but not yet on grid 123 MW
(2015: 246 MW)
Electricity production in 2016
Electricity produced with offshore turbines 13 TWh
(2015: 8.3 TWh)
About the annual figures “Status of Offshore Wind Energy Expansion in Germany”
Since 2012, the Deutsche WindGuard analysis of the wind energy expansion figures has dealt with offshore wind power separately from land-based wind power. The paper is commissioned by VDMA Power Systems, the German Wind Energy Association (BWE), the Offshore Wind Energy Foundation, the WAB Wind Energy Agency and the Working Group for Offshore Wind Energy (AGOW). The 2016 figures for wind energy on land will be presented on 7 February 2017.
About Arbeitsgemeinschaft Offshore-Windenergie e.V.
The members of the Working Group for Offshore Wind Energy (AGOW) build and operate offshore wind farms in the North and Baltic Seas, allowing AGOW to consolidate the strength and know-how for a successful shift to renewable energy in Germany and Europe. AGOW currently has 16 member enterprises that build and operate offshore wind farms.
About Bundesverband Windenergie e.V. (BWE)
As a member of the German Renewable Energy Association (BEE), the 20,000 member strong German Wind Energy Association represents the whole of the wind industry. Together, the supplier and manufacturing industry, project developers, specialist lawyers, the financial industry and businesses in the fields of logistics, construction, service/maintenance, storage technology, electricity traders, grid operators and utility companies anchored in the German mechanical engineering sector ensure that the BWE is the first point of contact for all issues relating to wind energy for government and business, science and media.
About die Stiftung OFFSHORE-WINDENERGIE
The non-profit German industry foundation for the use and exploration of offshore wind energy was founded in 2005 on the initiative of the industry and under the aegis of the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Reactor Safety (BMU). The aim of the foundations is to consolidate the role of offshore wind energy in Germany’s future energy mix, and to promote its expansion in the interest of environment and climate protection.
About VDMA Power Systems
VDMA Power Systems is a subsection of the Verband Deutscher Maschinen- und Anlagenbau VDMA e.V. (German Machinery and Plant Manufacturers’ Association). The industry association represents the interests of manufacturers of wind energy and hydroelectric power plants, thermal turbines and power plants and engine systems at home and abroad. VDMA Power Systems serves as an information and communication platform for all of these with regard to industry topics such as energy policy, legislation, market analyses, trade fairs, standardisation, press and PR work.
About WAB e.V.
WAB e.V. (Wind Energy Agency) is the leading business network for wind energy in the region of northwest Germany and national contact for the offshore wind industry. The association’s members include over 350 businesses and institutes in all sectors of the wind and maritime industries and research sectors.
Arbeitsgemeinschaft Offshore-Windenergie Tim Bruns 030 28444-651 [email protected]
Bundesverband WindEnergie e.V Wolfram Axthelm 030 212341-251 [email protected]
Stiftung OFFSHORE-WINDENERGIE Sebastian Boie 030 27595-198 [email protected]